Flow and Regime Dependent Mesoscale Predictability

Since the beginning of the project a year ago, three graduate research assistants (Andrew Odins, Dan Hawblitzel and Jason Sippel) and a postdoctoral research associate (Dr. Naifang Bei) have been fully or partially trained/sponsored by this project. Odins completed and defended successfully his master’s thesis in the fall of 2004 on the mesoscale predictability of an extreme warm-season south-central Texas flooding event of June-July 2003 (Odins 2004; Zhang et al. 2005). Hawblitzel completed and defended successfully his master’s thesis on the impact of moist convection on the predictability of a long-lived mesoscale convective event of 10-13 June 2003 (Hawblitzel 2005; Hawblitzel et al. 2005). Sippel started his Ph.D. study in January and is working on the short-term predictability of tropical cyclones using ensemble forecasts, especially formed near the coastal areas of the United States.